TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC
Volume:
$126,977
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of match outcomes (win/loss/draw) evaluated over 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria state that all three possible outcomes (Tie, Qingdao Hainiu win, Chengdu Rongcheng win) each resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a mutually exclusive three-way event. This creates a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses coherent binary markets with clear mutual exclusivity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event group. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and cannot be settled fairly. Trade only Polymarket's three separate binary markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes and explicit cancellation rules.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie, Qingdao Hainiu win, Chengdu Rongcheng win) are stated to resolve to Yes. This violates logical consistency for a three-way outcome market. Key quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Qingdao Hainiu wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Chengdu Rongcheng wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No cancellation or postponement rules provided.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Chengdu win (Yes/No), Qingdao win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Chengdu and Qingdao to No, but Draw to Yes. Primary source: official CSL-China.com statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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