TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC
kalshi
polymarket

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC

Volume:
$126,977

Chengdu Rongcheng FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 7:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chengdu Rongcheng FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chengdu Rongcheng

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,087
N/A
N/A
$5,276
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,788
N/A
N/A
$1,530
Settled
No
polymarket

Qingdao Hainiu FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Qingdao Hainiu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,580
N/A
N/A
$3,718
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of match outcomes (win/loss/draw) evaluated over 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria state that all three possible outcomes (Tie, Qingdao Hainiu win, Chengdu Rongcheng win) each resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a mutually exclusive three-way event. This creates a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses coherent binary markets with clear mutual exclusivity.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event group. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and cannot be settled fairly. Trade only Polymarket's three separate binary markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes and explicit cancellation rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie, Qingdao Hainiu win, Chengdu Rongcheng win) are stated to resolve to Yes. This violates logical consistency for a three-way outcome market. Key quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Qingdao Hainiu wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Chengdu Rongcheng wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No cancellation or postponement rules provided.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Chengdu win (Yes/No), Qingdao win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Chengdu and Qingdao to No, but Draw to Yes. Primary source: official CSL-China.com statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.