TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC score more goals than Chongqing Tonglianglong FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chongqing Tonglianglong FC" if Chongqing Tonglianglong FC score more goals than Chengdu Rongcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC score more goals than Chongqing Tonglianglong FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chongqing Tonglianglong FC" if Chongqing Tonglianglong FC score more goals than Chengdu Rongcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money positions. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on sharp action or liability concerns, whereas this market adjusts purely through supply and demand. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking, though both aim to reflect the true probability of the second half outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that balances buy and sell orders on each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each second-half result reflects the collective belief of all participants willing to trade at that level. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and wider spreads may appear during low-activity periods.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only, independent of the first-half score. Resolution occurs after official confirmation from the league or match authorities, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule to plan their positions ahead of the resolution window.
Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes can shift odds significantly. Pre-match form, recent head-to-head records, and home-field advantage may influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day and early first-half momentum can also sway second-half expectations, as teams may adjust strategy based on the scoreline at halftime. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can trigger rapid repricing, while casual trading activity typically produces gradual shifts in the odds.