TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 11:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Beijing Guoan FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Beijing Guoan FC, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Beijing Guoan FC" if Beijing Guoan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs with real financial stakes. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook pricing depending on information flow and trader positioning. Many analysts find prediction markets valuable precisely because they incorporate diverse perspectives and real-money commitment, sometimes surfacing edges that conventional oddsmakers miss. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or most contested.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—Chengdu Rongcheng FC to score first or Beijing Guoan FC to score first—adjusts dynamically based on order flow and the size of trades. Larger trades move the price more sharply, incentivizing traders to provide liquidity at favorable rates. The current odds reflect the collective belief of all active traders, updated in real time as new information emerges or sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result. Early resolution may occur if one team scores and the match is abandoned or called off before completion, though standard play through full time is expected. Traders should monitor official match updates and any announcements from the teams or league that could affect timing or validity.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, especially if a key striker or defender is unavailable. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary often trigger trading surges as new information reaches the market. Early match momentum matters too; if one side dominates possession or creates clear chances in the opening minutes, traders may reprice their expectations. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can also influence positioning. Finally, any official league announcements or venue changes would prompt immediate repricing across this market.