TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 3:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Andre Ilagan in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Andre Ilagan. This market will resolve to 'Andre Ilagan' if Andre Ilagan advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Andre Ilagan in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Andre Ilagan. This market will resolve to 'Andre Ilagan' if Andre Ilagan advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant difference exists, it might suggest that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a more informed participant base. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome and identify potential value in either venue. However, remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can react quickly to new information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Chengdu Open qualification match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws nearer. The current trading volume provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding this match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Chengdu Open qualification match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. The market will then determine which shares payout based on the actual result of the match. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this qualification round could also impact the perceived chances of each player. Furthermore, large trades by informed participants on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the Chengdu Open qualification match approaches.