TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 4:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Kenta Miyoshi in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Kenta Miyoshi. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi' if Kenta Miyoshi advances against Lloyd Harris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Kenta Miyoshi in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Kenta Miyoshi. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi' if Kenta Miyoshi advances against Lloyd Harris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money where their mouth is. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the betting cycle, as the market adjusts to new information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chengdu Open match between Lloyd Harris and Kenta Miyoshi. The platform will verify the result against official tournament sources to determine which player won the match and ultimately, which outcome in this market is the winning one. The process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the Chengdu Open could also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed bettors could signal a change in sentiment and cause the market to react quickly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before it resolves.