TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Premier League match between Chelsea FC and Newcastle United FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three separate binary markets: Chelsea win, Newcastle win, draw) and Kalshi (one categorical market covering all three outcomes). The resolution hinges on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: official Premier League statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus (e.g., major sports news outlets).Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined by goals scored in 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Chelsea win, Newcastle win, or draw
- Polymarket offers three separate binary markets; Kalshi offers one categorical market covering all outcomes
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket Chelsea and Newcastle markets resolve No, and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi treats as a tie outcome
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and final statistics are published.
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: Chelsea win and Newcastle win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: treated as a tie outcome (Yes for draw market).
- Official statistics delay: If Premier League does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution falls back to consensus of credible reporting sources.
- Extra time or penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts for resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Premier League statistics are published (or within 2 hours, after which credible reporting consensus may be used). Markets remain open if the match is postponed until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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