TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$39,959
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks the halftime result of the Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC match scheduled for April 18, 2026, in the English Premier League. The market resolves based on which team is ahead or if the score is tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Chelsea win, Manchester United win, tie) are stated to resolve to Yes, making it impossible to determine a single correct resolution. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets with clear win/loss conditions.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it contains a logical error that makes settlement impossible. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Chelsea leading, Draw, Manchester United leading), where exactly one will resolve Yes based on the halftime result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three possible halftime outcomes (Chelsea win, Manchester United win, tie) are mapped to Yes resolution. The market states: 'If Chelsea is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes. If Manchester United is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves Yes, leaving no path to No resolution.
- Polymarket: Three separate mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Chelsea leading at halftime resolves Yes only if Chelsea wins the first half, No otherwise; (2) Draw at halftime resolves Yes only if the halftime score is tied, No otherwise; (3) Manchester United leading resolves Yes only if Manchester United wins the first half, No otherwise. Exactly one of the three will resolve Yes based on the actual halftime result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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