TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC
polymarket
kalshi

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC

Volume:
$7,598,470

Manchester City FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 11:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Manchester City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,669,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manchester City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,102,688
N/A
N/A
$1,776,039
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chelsea FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$930,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chelsea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$583,373
N/A
N/A
$309,277
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162,698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149,463
N/A
N/A
$102,970
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC match scheduled for April 12, 2026, in the English Premier League. Resolution is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The market captures all three possible outcomes: a Manchester City win, a draw, or a Chelsea win.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Chelsea win, Manchester City win, draw) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that can ALL resolve YES simultaneously if their respective outcomes occur, creating a logical contradiction in the group structure.Hero tip: Do not cross-trade these markets between platforms. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three outcomes will resolve YES (mutually exclusive). On Kalshi, all three markets can resolve YES in the same match (e.g., if Manchester City wins, both the Manchester City market AND the 'Tie' market could theoretically resolve YES based on the wording, creating ambiguity). Clarify Kalshi's exact resolution rules before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three separate binary markets as mutually exclusive outcomes. Each market resolves YES or NO based on a single outcome (Chelsea win, Manchester City win, or draw). The three markets are logically dependent — exactly one will resolve YES. Key quote: 'If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical logic for the other two outcomes).
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three markets with overlapping resolution conditions. Market 1 resolves YES if Manchester City wins. Market 2 resolves YES if Tie occurs. Market 3 resolves YES if Chelsea wins. The wording does not explicitly state these are mutually exclusive, and the structure allows all three to potentially resolve YES simultaneously if the underlying event has multiple interpretations. Key quote: 'If Manchester City wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Chelsea wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.