TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC?

Volume:
$1,271,123

Chelsea FC

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 7:11 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chelsea FC

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$594,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Chelsea

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300,425
N/A
N/A
$142,204
Settled
Yes
limitless

Chelsea

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$1,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Leeds United FC

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Leeds United

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$73,362
N/A
N/A
$40,535
Settled
No
limitless

Leeds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66,141
N/A
N/A
$31,228
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC)

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Chelsea FC will win their match against Leeds United FC on September 9, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Chelsea FC winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is the official EFL website. Keep an eye on September 9, 2026, as this is the date the match is scheduled to conclude and will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms, specifically regarding draw markets. Polymarket resolves draw markets to 'Yes' if canceled, while Limitless resolves win/loss markets to 'No' if canceled.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. Limitless's draw market is more likely to resolve positively in a cancellation scenario than Polymarket's win/loss markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves win/loss markets to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, and draw markets to 'Yes' if canceled. Uses a hierarchy of official sources, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Limitless: Resolves win/loss markets to 'No' if the game is not completed and no make-up match is scheduled. Resolves draw markets to 'Yes' if the game is not completed and no make-up match is scheduled. Uses official sources.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 between Chelsea FC and Leeds United FC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Chelsea vs Leeds United professional EFL Cup soccer match originally scheduled for September 9, 2026, after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Chelsea, a win for Leeds United, or a tie. If either team secures a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude with an equal scoreline after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is canceled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The markets operate independently of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 9, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Chelsea vs. Leeds match. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $1,271,123, with $1,264,209 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, based on trading activity across both platforms, suggests a strong expectation for a particular result. This allows users to see how opinions are shifting in real-time as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions on the likely result of the Chelsea vs. Leeds match.

Prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and public perception, potentially incorporating biases. This market, however, allows individuals to express their beliefs with real capital, leading to prices that may more accurately forecast the true probability of an event. While sportsbooks often include a ‘vig’ or commission, prediction markets generally have lower transaction costs, potentially offering better value to informed bettors. It’s important to compare both to identify discrepancies and potential opportunities.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading limits, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differing liquidity and order flow on each platform can create temporary price discrepancies. Market sentiment and information access can also vary between the two venues, leading to different interpretations of the likely outcome of the Chelsea vs. Leeds match and, consequently, different prices. These differences are normal in decentralized prediction markets.