TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Over 3.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 3.5 goals scored - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 12, 2026
Closed: Sep 12, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
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Chelsea and Hull City have 3 or more total goals?
Intro
This market tracks which team—Chelsea FC or Hull City AFC—will score the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, the consensus probability favors Chelsea FC to score first at 99.6%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with potential fallback to Flashscore or Sofascore. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 12, 2026, as the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: The markets diverge in their core question - first goalscorer vs. total goals - and utilize different resolution criteria and sources.Hero tip: Focus on the specific question being asked by each platform. Don't assume correlation between first goalscorer and total goal markets.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Focuses on which team scores first within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Resolves based on official statistics, with fallback sources (Flashscore/Sofascore).
- Kalshi: Focuses on the total number of goals scored within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Resolves based on over/under goal lines.
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Chelsea FC and Hull City AFC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hull City AFC" if Hull City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Chelsea vs Hull City professional EPL soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and time parameters, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Chelsea and Hull City is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Premier League match scheduled for September 12, 2026, 14:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It's common to see prediction market probabilities move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. The volume of $864,794 suggests active participation in this market.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Limitless may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions on the probability of each outcome. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $864,794 – can influence price discovery. Any discrepancies reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms at play on Polymarket and Limitless, representing distinct assessments of the same event.
