TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 6:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Chelsea FC and FK Austria Wien, scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Austria Wien" if FK Austria Wien are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Chelsea FC and FK Austria Wien, scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Austria Wien" if FK Austria Wien are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of either Chelsea or FK Austria Wien scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, market participants, and risk tolerance. If a significant difference exists, it may signal an opportunity for arbitrage – where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, and may not always align with expert opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in the belief that either Chelsea or FK Austria Wien will score first, and this price changes dynamically based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team – Chelsea or FK Austria Wien – scores the first goal in the match. Official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks might draw attention to this market, potentially influencing trading volume and price movements. A late-breaking announcement about a player’s fitness could be a particularly strong catalyst.