TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the match, with specific thresholds determining the results across multiple markets.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Chattanooga vs The Citadel college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets predicting Chattanooga's victory, resolution occurs if the Mocs win by exceeding specified point margins ranging from 1.5 to 33.5 points. Conversely, markets forecasting The Citadel's success resolve if the Bulldogs secure a win by more than 2.5 to 14.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original kickoff time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final score. Should the match fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Historically, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what is captured in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially factoring in less quantifiable elements like team morale or unreported injuries. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available, with this market sometimes reacting more quickly to shifts in sentiment. However, as game day approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final point spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders who believe the spread will be higher buy 'yes' contracts, while those who believe it will be lower sell them. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and produce a forecast that reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Chattanooga vs The Citadel football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi, and 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions are also likely to cause movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Public perception, as reflected in polls or media coverage, can also play a role, though this market often incorporates information beyond what is widely known.