This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Chattanooga Mocs and North Dakota State Bison scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on which team will win the game.
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Chattanooga win and North Dakota State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish between them. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version, using standard winner-determination with proper edge case handling (postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Contradictory binary mapping: both Chattanooga win and North Dakota State win resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Quote: If Chattanooga wins resolves to Yes; If North Dakota St. wins resolves to Yes.
Polymarket: Standard winner-determination with named outcomes: Chattanooga Mocs win resolves to Chattanooga Mocs; North Dakota State Bison win resolves to North Dakota State Bison. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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