TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Charlton and QPR. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the competitive nature of the game without predicting the exact score.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Charlton versus QPR professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. All markets resolve based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market prices tend to converge towards what many believe is the true probability, potentially offering a more accurate assessment than traditional sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a specific outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect evolving expectations and new information as it becomes available. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Charlton vs QPR match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct total goals will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect total will settle at 0. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed match result to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Charlton or QPR would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or stadium conditions might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself could create momentum and shift the market prices, reflecting changes in perceived probabilities.