TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Charlotte and Ole Miss. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team manages to score a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The event determines which team, if any, scores the first touchdown in the Charlotte vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If neither team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, a specific market indicating no team scores a touchdown resolves as the winner. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to note that sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and liability management, which may not be fully captured in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each scenario. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions for this event.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first touchdown in the Charlotte vs Ole Miss game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Charlotte or Ole Miss would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the game conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can indirectly affect the prices on Kalshi as traders react to the broader market narrative surrounding this matchup.