TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of a college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to settle the outcome, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both teams in the second quarter of the designated Charlotte vs Ole Miss college football game exceed specified thresholds. Only points scored during the second quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each with its own point threshold, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. However, as the event approaches, this market and sportsbook odds often converge, reflecting a shared understanding of the likely outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit when their forecasts are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the game’s potential scoring. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely total points scored in the 2nd quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Charlotte vs Ole Miss football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the source for the final result. Traders holding contracts on the correct total will receive a payout, while those on incorrect totals will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Charlotte or Ole Miss would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, reflected in social media or expert analysis, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.