TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Charlotte and Ole Miss. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the Charlotte vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For any market, if the specified team wins the second quarter by more than the stated point margin, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see prediction market prices move closer to the actual outcome as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, sportsbooks and this market can sometimes align if there’s strong consensus among both traders and oddsmakers regarding the likely result of the second quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter of the Charlotte vs Ole Miss game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven price that attempts to reflect the true likelihood of each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Charlotte vs Ole Miss game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The market’s resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Charlotte or Ole Miss teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first quarter, or even pre-game reports on team strategies and player matchups, might lead traders to adjust their positions and shift the price of contracts representing different point spreads.