TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming MLS match between Charlotte and Chicago Fire, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Charlotte and Chicago Fire both score a goal in the Charlotte vs Chicago Fire MLS match originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or house biases. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It's common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still exist due to differing market dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Charlotte vs Chicago match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, driving the price towards what they believe is the true probability. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Charlotte and Chicago Fire score at least one goal during the match. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine the payout for those who held contracts, reflecting the accuracy of the market’s prediction.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Charlotte or Chicago Fire would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements closer to the match could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can influence the price, as traders react to and anticipate future developments.