TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves to Yes if both Charlotte and Atlanta score at least one goal each during their MLS match on July 22, 2026. The outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee.
If Charlotte and Atlanta both score a goal in the Charlotte vs Atlanta MLS match originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs without a built-in spread. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper action first. Traders who monitor both venues can spot mispricings, though prediction markets typically converge toward consensus as the event approaches. The key difference is transparency: prediction market prices are set entirely by supply and demand, with no house margin baked in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers post bids and offers in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability that both teams score. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate confidence and deeper order books, while wider spreads suggest fewer traders are committed at current levels.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by whether both Charlotte and Atlanta score at least one goal each during regulation and any extra time. If either team fails to score, the market resolves to no. Resolution is confirmed against credible public sports reporting and official league records, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive starters, lineup announcements closer to kickoff, and recent offensive and defensive form. Head-to-head history and weather conditions on match day can also shift expectations around scoring likelihood. Betting action from sharp bettors may signal new information, causing prices to shift rapidly. Late-breaking tactical changes or unexpected absences can swing the market significantly in the final hours. Traders monitoring these signals often spot opportunities before the broader market reprices.