TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:53 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks frequently incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts based on real money being wagered, potentially revealing discrepancies between public perception and professional analysis. It's a useful comparison to see where the crowd differs from the experts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire match, and the price of each share reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system where the odds constantly adjust based on supply and demand, offering a unique insight into the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire match as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Charlotte FC, a win for Chicago Fire, or a draw – actually occurred during the game. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their holdings in the corresponding shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either Charlotte FC or Chicago Fire would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions on the day of the match, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the perceived probabilities. Additionally, unexpected announcements about coaching changes or team strategies could move the market. Finally, even general shifts in public sentiment or large wagers from influential traders on Polymarket could cause noticeable price fluctuations.