This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Charlotte 49ers and South Florida Bulls scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under totals at three different thresholds (152.5, 153.5, 156.5), and a spread bet on South Florida (-16.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Charlotte win and South Florida win resolve to 'Yes', making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. Use Polymarket moneyline as the authoritative reference for winner determination. Verify with Kalshi support whether this is a platform error before any settlement occurs.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Charlotte 49ers' if Charlotte wins or 'South Florida Bulls' if South Florida wins. Over/Under markets (152.5, 153.5, 156.5) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold+1, Under otherwise. Spread resolves to South Florida Bulls if they win by 17+ points, otherwise Charlotte 49ers. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Source: NCAA.com. Final score includes overtime.
Kalshi:
Moneyline states 'If South Florida wins the Charlotte at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Charlotte wins the Charlotte at South Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.