TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Hank Lebioda will finish in the top 5, including ties, during the first round of the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by official scoring from the Charles Schwab Challenge's first round on May 28, 2026, with the market settling based on final leaderboard rankings from that competition day.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs. For the Charles Schwab Challenge Round 1 top-5 market, you may notice prediction market prices moving faster in response to breaking news, weather updates, or player withdrawals. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though both venues ultimately reflect market expectations about which golfers will achieve a top-5 finish in Round 1.
The Charles Schwab Challenge: Round 1 Top 5 market resolves on May 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final leaderboard for Round 1 of the Charles Schwab Challenge, published by the PGA Tour. Each golfer contract settles based on whether that player finishes in the top 5 positions after all Round 1 play is complete. Ties are handled according to standard PGA Tour rules. Once the official results are confirmed and published, all contracts automatically resolve to their final values, and traders receive payouts based on their positions.
Several factors can shift odds for Charles Schwab Challenge Round 1 top-5 finishers before May 28, 2026. Player withdrawals or injuries will immediately reduce a golfer's implied probability to near zero. Course conditions, weather forecasts, and practice-round performance updates influence trader confidence in each player's ability to finish top 5. Recent form, recent tournament results, and betting action from sharp money can trigger rapid repricing. Tee-time announcements and grouping assignments may reveal strategic pairings affecting competitive dynamics. As Round 1 progresses and early scores post, live leaderboard movement will drive continuous contract repricing on Kalshi, with leaders and contenders seeing prices rise and struggling players seeing prices fall in real time.