TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome method of a scheduled combat sports match between Charles Johnson and Eduardo Henrique Da Silva Dos Santos. It covers whether the fight concludes via knockout, submission, decision, or draw/no contest. The resolution depends solely on the official result of the bout as recorded by the governing authority.
The market resolves based on the official method of victory or match outcome in the Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Henrique Da Silva Dos Santos fight scheduled for August 15, 2026. If the contest ends in a knockout/tKO, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, or decision for either fighter, the market resolves accordingly to Yes for those respective outcome categories. Should the match conclude as a draw or no contest, the corresponding market also resolves to Yes. The rules explicitly clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds from this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant dynamics and betting structures. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader public betting patterns and adjusted margins, this market lets traders bet directly on their own assessments, potentially creating price gaps or unique valuations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability for each possible finish method. The top outcome’s displayed chance reflects the aggregate of all active bets, and volume of $24,731 shows overall interest. This decentralized pricing model lets participants express nuanced views.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the officially recorded method of finish from sanctioned fight records, ensuring an objective and transparent determination for all participants on Kalshi.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media coverage, trainer updates, and any last-minute changes to fight strategy or conditions. Injury reports, weight class adjustments, or shifts in fighter momentum leading up to the event may also cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities and adjust their positions on Kalshi accordingly.