TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 6:52 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many goals each team will score in a specific soccer match between Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama. The outcomes depend on whether the teams exceed certain goal thresholds within the regulation time of the game.
The markets assess whether Chapecoense or Vasco da Gama will score above specified goal thresholds—0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals—during the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time of their professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for July 30, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the designated team achieves more than the stated number of goals. Own goals count toward the team to which they are awarded. Extra time and penalty shootout results are excluded from all calculations. The resolution hinges solely on the performance of each team within the standard match duration, with clear criteria for what constitutes a goal and how it is counted.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. Traders on Kalshi price in probabilities based on their own research and sentiment, which can diverge from sportsbook adjustments for sharp and recreational bettors. Comparing the two can reveal shifts in crowd-sourced expectations versus institutional lines.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where participants submit bids and asks based on their outlook for the match’s total goals. The current top trade reflects the aggregate wisdom of all active traders on the platform, adjusting dynamically with new information and volume.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the match will be the definitive result used to settle all positions, aligning with publicly available box scores and official match records.
Injuries to key attackers, weather conditions affecting scoring chances, and tactical decisions by coaches can all shift this market. High-profile player suspensions or late lineup changes may also influence trader expectations. As Jul 30, 2026 approaches, any last-minute news on team form or head-to-head history could cause rapid price swings, reflecting updated probabilities for the final total.