TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Analogous to the Santos vs Mirassol spread market, this evaluates victory margins for Chapecoense or Sao Paulo. Multiple thresholds for each team winning by certain margins offer diverse betting perspectives.
All markets resolve based on the goal difference if Chapecoense or Sao Paulo wins the August 23, 2026 Brasileiro Serie A match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Chapecoense wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on sharp analyses and commissions, traders on Kalshi price in their own expectations and sentiment. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on recent performance, injuries, or other game-specific developments. Comparing the two offers a view into crowd-derived versus expert-driven forecasts.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether Chapecoense covers the spread set by traders on Kalshi, closing the market based on the actual point differential from the game.