TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Chapecoense and Internacional, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other in this competitive fixture.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Chapecoense vs Internacional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Chapecoense winning by more than 2.5 goals, Chapecoense winning by more than 1.5 goals, Internacional winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Internacional winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals trading contracts based on their own beliefs. This can lead to divergences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in team conditions than sportsbooks, though the final outcomes will ultimately be verified against credible public sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chapecoense vs Internacional match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perceptions, providing a unique view into the expected result of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Chapecoense vs Internacional match, as determined by official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the outcome aligns with the contract details, and 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.