TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two competing teams facing off in a professional league, where each team aims to score goals during the regulation time of the game, including any added stoppage time, to determine the outcome of their head-to-head contest. The focus is solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond the 90 minutes. This encounter is part of a broader tournament structure that tests the offensive capabilities of both sides under normal playing conditions.
If Chapecoense and Internacional both score a goal in the Chapecoense vs Internacional Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi can move more rapidly than those at traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as an event draws nearer, especially when there's significant public information available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Chapecoense vs Internacional match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a growing belief that both teams will score. Conversely, selling 'yes' contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Chapecoense and Internacional score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final scoreline, as reported by official sources, will be the basis for settling this market. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts closed based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chapecoense or Internacional would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift the odds. Even weather conditions on match day – particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play – could play a role. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either manager, or late-breaking news about team lineups, are also potential catalysts for price changes in this market.