TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
CGN Esports and Joblife compete in the second map of their VCL EMEA Stage 3 2026 Valorant match on June 23, 2026. The winner of this individual map will determine the outcome of this market.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of Map 2 in the scheduled VCL EMEA Stage 3 2026 Valorant match between CGN Esports and Joblife on June 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the map.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what participants collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time analysis and community insight. Comparing this market's implied probability to sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus diverges, though both venues serve different purposes and operate under distinct regulatory frameworks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability traders assign to that result, with active buying pushing prices up and selling pressure driving them down. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices cluster around fair value, so deeper order books typically yield more stable pricing.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the Map 2 result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team wins the specific map in the CGN Esports versus Joblife matchup. All open positions settle based on the confirmed result, with payouts distributed to holders of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official esports broadcasts and league announcements to stay informed as the event approaches.
Several factors may shift odds before resolution. Roster changes, player injuries, or lineup announcements could alter perceived team strength. Recent form, scrim results, or public statements from coaches and players often influence trader positioning. Map-specific meta shifts, patch updates affecting in-game balance, or head-to-head history between these teams may also drive repricing. Major esports news, betting syndicate activity, or shifts in community sentiment around either team's capabilities can trigger rapid price movement in this market.