This event group covers a Liga MX match between CF Pachuca and Club Puebla scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time only), identical primary source (ligamx.net official statistics), and identical contingency rules for postponement, cancellation, and delayed official reporting.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX statistics published on ligamx.net; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets (Pachuca -1.5, -2.5; Puebla -1.5, -2.5): Resolve based on final goal margin. Pachuca -1.5 YES if Pachuca wins by 2+; Pachuca -2.5 YES if Pachuca wins by 3+. Puebla spreads mirror this logic.
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5): Resolve based on combined goals. O/U 1.5 Over if 2+ combined goals; O/U 2.5 Over if 3+ combined goals; O/U 3.5 Over if 4+ combined goals; O/U 4.5 Over if 5+ combined goals.
Both Teams to Score: YES if both teams score at least 1 goal each; NO if either team scores 0 goals.
All markets count only goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
If game is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50.
If official Liga MX statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. No automatic resolution occurs.
Cancellation with no makeup: All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between YES and NO outcomes).
Incomplete match: If the game starts but is not completed, resolution uses the official final score published by Liga MX for the portion played, treating it as the final result.
Delayed official reporting: If Liga MX does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus (e.g., major sports news outlets) may be used as fallback source.
Extra time and penalties: These are explicitly excluded from all market resolutions. Only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official Liga MX statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets remain open if the game is postponed and resolve only after the match is played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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