TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between CF Montréal and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CF Montréal" if CF Montréal score more goals than Toronto FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CF Montréal and Toronto FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC score more goals than CF Montréal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between CF Montréal and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CF Montréal" if CF Montréal score more goals than Toronto FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CF Montréal and Toronto FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC score more goals than CF Montréal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket sees value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying and selling pressure directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, with each transaction updating the implied probability in real time. This continuous pricing model means the market can respond quickly to breaking news, team updates, or shifting expectations about the second half result.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official final score and result recorded by the league or governing body. Until that point, traders can adjust positions based on live match developments, team news, or any other factors they believe will influence the second half outcome.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins or during the first half. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers significant repricing. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history may also influence trader positioning. Once the match starts, first-half events such as early goals, red cards, or momentum shifts can reshape expectations for the second half, causing sharp price movements as traders reassess probabilities based on live information.