TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CF Montréal and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CF Montréal" if CF Montréal are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CF Montréal and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CF Montréal" if CF Montréal are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. In this market, prices adjust continuously as new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—whereas sportsbooks may lag or adjust less frequently. Traders on prediction platforms typically have strong incentives to price outcomes accurately, since their capital is directly at risk. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is pricing the first goal differently than professional bookmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker or order book mechanism, where each outcome's price reflects the ratio of capital backing that outcome to total liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell shares, with each transaction updating the odds instantly. The market price converges toward the true probability as more participants trade, rewarding accurate predictions and punishing poor ones. Liquidity depth determines how much capital is needed to move prices significantly.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation time. Resolution is confirmed once the event result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. Early or late resolution may occur depending on match scheduling and official confirmation timelines.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that affect offensive capability. Weather conditions on match day, recent form and head-to-head records, and any late-breaking roster updates can shift trader expectations significantly. As the match approaches, pre-game commentary from analysts and betting syndicates may influence positioning. During the match itself, early possession patterns and shot attempts will drive rapid repricing until the first goal is scored and this market resolves.