TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between CF Montréal and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between CF Montréal and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines based on betting volume, whereas prediction markets adjust continuously as new information emerges. For an exact score market, prediction market odds may capture nuanced crowd intelligence about team form and matchup dynamics that sportsbooks price differently, making direct comparison useful for identifying value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where each exact score outcome has its own contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any scoreline reflects the cumulative bets placed on it relative to all other outcomes. As traders buy a particular score, its price rises; as they sell, it falls. This continuous price discovery process means the odds update in real time based on order flow, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, injury reports, or shifting sentiment throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the CF Montréal versus Toronto FC match concludes and the final scoreline is verified. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. Resolution is confirmed once the result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. Traders holding contracts on the correct final score receive their payout, while all other outcomes expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that affect scoring potential. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Betting syndicate activity or large trades by informed participants may signal confidence in specific outcomes, moving prices sharply. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and live updates during the game itself will drive continuous repricing as new information emerges and the match unfolds.