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405,232

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5

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CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC
kalshi
polymarket

CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC

Volume:
$363,267

Monterrey

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Monterrey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155,108
N/A
N/A
$102,523
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Monterrey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Queretaro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,733
N/A
N/A
$55,595
Settled
No
polymarket

Querétaro FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,815
N/A
N/A
$17,441
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Liga MX soccer match between CF Monterrey and Querétaro FC scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken: all three outcome markets resolve to Yes if their condition occurs, creating logical contradiction. Polymarket uses standard mutually-exclusive outcome markets. Kalshi markets are unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group until the resolution language is corrected. Polymarket markets are coherent and tradeable. Confirm with Kalshi support whether this is a template error or intentional structure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate markets, each resolving to Yes if a specific outcome occurs (Querétaro win, Monterrey win, or tie). Critical flaw: all three can simultaneously resolve Yes since exactly one outcome must occur. Quote: 'If Queretaro wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Monterrey wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive outcome-specific markets: (1) Draw resolves Yes if game ends 0-0 or equal goals, (2) Monterrey win resolves Yes only if Monterrey scores more, (3) Querétaro win resolves Yes only if Querétaro scores more. Exactly one resolves Yes. Quote: 'If CF Monterrey wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.