TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna?

Volume:
$1,702,747

Monterrey

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 11:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Monterrey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$638,058
N/A
N/A
$429,245
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Monterrey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$171,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Santos Laguna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$569,026
N/A
N/A
$401,411
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$244,306
N/A
N/A
$181,753
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Santos Laguna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Liga MX soccer match between CF Monterrey and Club Santos Laguna on July 18, 2026. Aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability for a Monterrey victory stands at 96.0%, with a Santos Laguna win at 4.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Liga MX match statistics published on ligamx.net, or credible reporting consensus if official data is unavailable within two hours of match conclusion. Watch for the final whistle on July 18 to determine the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official Liga MX final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (markets remain open), cancellations (win markets resolve No, draw resolves Yes), and source hierarchy (official stats within 2 hours, then credible consensus).Primary resolution logic: Official Liga MX match statistics as published on ligamx.net and recognized by the governing body; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined by official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
  • Monterrey win market resolves Yes if Monterrey scores more goals than Santos Laguna; otherwise No
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; otherwise No
  • Santos Laguna win market resolves Yes if Santos Laguna scores more goals than Monterrey; otherwise No
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Monterrey win and Santos Laguna win markets resolve No, and draw market resolves Yes
  • Post-resolution score revisions made after official declaration are not recognized for settlement purposes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, win markets (Monterrey and Santos Laguna) resolve No, while the draw market resolves Yes
  • Source verification timing: Official Liga MX statistics are the primary source; if not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used instead
  • Score revisions: Any official score revisions made after market resolution will not be recognized or used to alter the settlement outcome
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time), with official verification required within 2 hours of match end; markets settle based on the official final result as declared by Liga MX or governing bodyOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 between CF Monterrey and Club Santos Laguna.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Monterrey vs Santos Laguna Liga MX match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome is categorized into three mutually exclusive results: a Monterrey victory, a Santos Laguna victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established procedures rather than to any specific outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk; they adjust lines based on bet flow and house margins. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on continuous trader participation—prices reflect real-time supply and demand from participants willing to stake capital on their beliefs. This market aggregates odds from decentralized platforms where no single operator controls pricing. Prediction market odds often converge with sportsbook lines as the event approaches, but divergences can persist if one venue attracts more informed or contrarian traders. Both sources are useful for comparison, though they operate under different incentive structures.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases, operate under distinct regulatory frameworks, and may list slightly different outcome definitions for the same fixture. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Liquidity concentration also varies: if one platform attracts more volume on a particular outcome, its price will move faster and may diverge from the other. User demographics, fee structures, and platform-specific incentives can all influence where traders choose to position. These differences typically narrow as the match approaches and arbitrage traders exploit gaps, but they can widen again if breaking news or injury reports shift conviction unevenly across the two venues.