TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CF Monterrey vs. Club León FC
kalshi
polymarket

CF Monterrey vs. Club León FC

Volume:
$480,788

Monterrey

 - Kalshi

Monterrey - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Monterrey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$7,321
$256,037
N/A
N/A
$182,125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$814
$66,365
N/A
N/A
$52,717
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$8,420
$40,133
N/A
N/A
$33,111
Settled
No
polymarket

CF Monterrey

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92,329
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Club León FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,922
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (CF Monterrey vs. Club León FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,001
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three related prediction markets on the CF Monterrey vs. Club León FC Liga MX soccer match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track whether Monterrey wins, León wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time or penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi apply different resolution logic in the event of game cancellation. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies asymmetric outcomes: win markets resolve No, but the draw market resolves Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up date.Hero tip: If the game is canceled with no rescheduling, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while both win markets resolve No. This creates a divergence in payout structure across platforms. Traders should monitor Liga MX official sources and consider the cancellation scenario when sizing positions across venues.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its condition is met (Monterrey wins, León wins, or Tie occurs) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause is provided.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation handling: Monterrey win and León win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up game; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. All markets remain open if postponed pending completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.