TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Monterrey vs. Club León FC
Volume:
$480,788
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the CF Monterrey vs. Club León FC Liga MX soccer match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track whether Monterrey wins, León wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time or penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi apply different resolution logic in the event of game cancellation. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies asymmetric outcomes: win markets resolve No, but the draw market resolves Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up date.Hero Tip:
If the game is canceled with no rescheduling, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while both win markets resolve No. This creates a divergence in payout structure across platforms. Traders should monitor Liga MX official sources and consider the cancellation scenario when sizing positions across venues.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its condition is met (Monterrey wins, León wins, or Tie occurs) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause is provided.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation handling: Monterrey win and León win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up game; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. All markets remain open if postponed pending completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.