TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara
Volume:
$343,143
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between CF Monterrey and CD Guadalajara.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets settle on total goals scored (over/under thresholds), while Polymarket markets settle on match outcome (win/draw/loss). The platforms measure fundamentally different events: Kalshi focuses on aggregate scoring, Polymarket focuses on the final result.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on total goals (e.g., over 2.5 goals). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on who wins or if it ends in a draw. A 3-0 Monterrey win resolves YES on Kalshi (over 2.5 goals) and YES on Polymarket (Monterrey win), but a 1-0 Monterrey win resolves NO on Kalshi (under 2.5 goals) and YES on Polymarket (Monterrey win). These outcomes do not always align.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on total goals scored by both teams combined. Four separate markets threshold at >4.5, >3.5, >2.5, and >1.5 total goals. Each resolves YES if the combined goal count exceeds its threshold, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If Guadalajara and Monterrey collectively score more than X total goals in the Guadalajara at Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on match outcome (three separate markets for Monterrey win, draw, or Guadalajara win). Each resolves YES or NO based on the final result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If CF Monterrey wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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