TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting CP?

Volume:
$1,011,613

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 5:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$130,874
N/A
N/A
$79,219
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sporting CP

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$263,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sporting CP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$246,571
N/A
N/A
$111,219
Settled
No
kalshi

Estrela Amadora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$232,222
N/A
N/A
$148,245
Settled
No
polymarket

CF Estrela da Amadora

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the CF Estrela da Amadora versus Sporting CP soccer match scheduled for August 8, 2026 will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0% across Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by official results from ligaportugal.pt. The upcoming match on August 8, 2026 is the key event that will decide this market outcome, with all eyes on the final whistle to confirm the result and settle contracts accordingly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a single market that resolves Yes for ANY outcome while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets each tied to a specific outcomeHero tip: Kalshi market pays out for any match outcome while Polymarket requires specific outcome matches. Trade accordingly based on desired outcome exposure

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Estrela win? Will it end in draw? Will Sporting win? Each resolves Yes only if that specific outcome occurs
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves Yes if Estrela wins OR Sporting wins OR match ends in draw (any outcome after regular time)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, August 8, 2026 between CF Estrela da Amadora and Sporting CP.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for August 8, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either Estrela Amadora or Sporting CP markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes with an equal score after regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP match outcome market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and volume. It displays the current probability of each possible result, derived from trader activity on different platforms. This view lets participants see how the market is priced collectively, with total volume at $1,011,613 and 24-hour volume at $925,097. The dashboard updates continuously, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to diverse participant motivations and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, prediction markets let traders bet directly on outcomes, sometimes producing prices that reflect sharper or contrarian views. The spread between the two can vary widely, especially when trader sentiment diverges from public betting trends. For participants, comparing both sources can reveal mispricings or shifts in market expectations.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting tournament conditions can all influence this market as the event nears. Media reports, practice performances, and weather forecasts may also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, broader narrative shifts — such as a team gaining or losing momentum in preceding matches — can cause rapid repricing. Participants should watch for any news that impacts team form or match dynamics, as these are the primary drivers of market movement.