TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between CF Estrela da Amadora and Sporting CP.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 11, 2026, using official Liga Portugal statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga Portugal statistics and governing body recordsCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Estrela Amadora win, Sporting CP win, or draw.
- Polymarket's three markets (Estrela win, Sporting win, draw) will each resolve YES or NO such that exactly one resolves YES.
- Kalshi's three markets (Estrela win, Sporting win, tie) will each resolve YES or NO such that exactly one resolves YES.
- If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket resolves the draw market to YES and the win markets to NO; Kalshi resolves all three markets to NO (no outcome occurs).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep all markets open until the match is completed. Resolution is delayed but the underlying logic remains unchanged.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: Polymarket treats cancellation as a draw (draw market YES, win markets NO). Kalshi treats cancellation as no outcome (all markets NO). This is a minor divergence in cancellation handling but does not affect the core resolution logic for a completed match.
- Resolution Source Fallback: If official Liga Portugal statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution via consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Liga Portugal or governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.