TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Over 2.5 goals scored
all
3 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 10, 2026
Latest in Sports
Closed: Sep 10, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
%20scale(0.82)%20translate(-12.5%20-12.5)'%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M9.619%2012.69h12.995a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200-2.76h-3.932l5.298-5.405.032-.032L22.08%202.56h-5.255V1.38c0-.76-.619-1.38-1.38-1.38H9.81c-.76%200-1.38.62-1.38%201.38V11.5c0%20.657.534%201.19%201.19%201.19m12.995-2.186h-5.3l5.89-6.01-1.139-1.139-5.813%205.933V1.38a.806.806%200%200%200-.805-.806.806.806%200%200%200-.805.806v9.545c0%20.656.533%201.19%201.189%201.19h6.783a.806.806%200%200%200%200-1.612'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M14.393%2011.31H1.398a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200%202.76H5.33L.032%2019.476%200%2019.507l1.931%201.933h5.255v1.18c0%20.76.619%201.38%201.379%201.38h5.638c.76%200%201.38-.62%201.38-1.38V12.5c0-.657-.534-1.19-1.19-1.19m.293%2011.31a.8.8%200%200%201-.788.805.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.805v-7.904l-5.69%205.928-1.113-1.139%205.764-6.005H6.884a.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.806c0-.444.353-.806.787-.806h6.638c.642%200%201.164.534%201.164%201.19z'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e){kind=avatar}
Estrela and SC Braga have 3 or more total goals?
Intro
This market tracks the Over/Under 2.5 goals outcome for the CF Estrela da Amadora versus SC Braga Primeira Liga match. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless is 100.0% that the combined total number of goals scored will be 3 or higher during regular time. Resolution will be based on data reported by https://www.ligaportugal.pt/. Keep an eye on the match scheduled for September 10, 2026, as that is when this market will resolve based on the final goal tally.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Date discrepancies and differing over/under thresholds exist across platforms, despite consistent core resolution logic.Hero tip: Focus on the most liquid markets and be aware of potential timing differences in resolution. The date discrepancy is likely a data entry error and shouldn't impact resolution.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: All markets resolve based on the official final score published on ligaportugal.pt within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the governing body doesn't publish within 2 hours, Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus is used. Revisions after resolution are ignored.
- Limitless: Resolves based on the match scheduled for September 10, 2026, 19:15 UTC. Uses regular time (90 minutes + stoppage time). Resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled and no makeup game is scheduled.
- Kalshi: Resolves based on the match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026. Uses regular time (90 minutes + stoppage time). Resolves 'Yes' if the specified over/under goal threshold is met.
Polymarket
More markets for the Primeira Liga game, scheduled for September 10 at 3:15 PM ET.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Estrela Amadora vs Braga professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for Sep 10, 2026. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and does not include extra time or penalties. If the specified threshold of goals is exceeded, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Each market has a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), meaning the outcome depends on whether the total goals surpass that particular threshold.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Estrela and SC Braga is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Primeira Liga match scheduled for September 10, 2026, 19:15 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Limitless, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. Generally, higher volume in this market suggests greater confidence in the prediction, potentially making it a valuable signal compared to sportsbook lines. It’s important to compare both to inform your decisions.
