TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 1:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the exact final score of a Liga MX soccer match between CF Cruz Azul and Club Puebla scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Polymarket offers granular exact-score outcomes (0-0 through 3-3 plus Any Other Score), while Kalshi provides goal-differential spread markets (Cruz Azul/Puebla by >1.5 or >2.5 goals). Both resolve based on the 90-minute regulation result plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming Liga MX game between CF Cruz Azul and Club Puebla, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is based on the goal differential in the Cruz Azul vs Puebla Liga MX match scheduled for July 21, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Outcomes are determined by whether Cruz Azul or Puebla achieves a victory margin exceeding specified thresholds: Cruz Azul winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or Puebla winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The final official score at the end of regulation determines which outcome, if any, resolves to Yes.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks apply fixed margins and employ professional oddsmakers; prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation and arbitrage to set prices. Because prediction markets reward accuracy directly, they often reflect sharper consensus on low-probability events. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads on high-volume matches due to their scale. Comparing this market's leading outcome across venues can reveal where the crowd sees edge versus where bookmakers have priced in their own view of team strength and public betting patterns.
Key catalysts include confirmed lineups, injury announcements to star players, and recent form swings in either team's league campaign. Tactical shifts—such as a manager switching to a more defensive setup—can reshape scoring expectations. Weather conditions and venue factors also matter; rain or extreme heat may suppress goals. Live-match momentum, early goals, and red cards will drive sharp repricing in real time. Monitor team news feeds and pre-match press conferences closely, as late-breaking developments often trigger significant trader repositioning before kickoff.