TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla?

Volume:
$5,603,844

Cruz Azul

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 11:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruz Azul

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,116,481
N/A
N/A
$1,241,232
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Cruz Azul

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$327,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Puebla

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,610,836
N/A
N/A
$1,111,788
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,269,688
N/A
N/A
$597,980
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Puebla

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the July 21, 2026 Liga MX soccer match between CF Cruz Azul and Club Puebla, specifically whether CF Cruz Azul will win in regular time. The aggregated consensus probability for CF Cruz Azul to win stands at 100.0%, with Club Puebla at 0.1%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolutions sourced from https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Watch for the match conclusion on July 21, 2026, which will determine the final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's omnibus market design (single YES outcome for any result) diverges from Polymarket's three discrete binary markets with differentiated cancellation logic. Both platforms agree on the 90-minute + stoppage time window and official Liga MX statistics as the primary source, but differ fundamentally in market structure and cancellation handling.Hero tip: Polymarket offers true outcome discrimination with three separate markets; Kalshi's single market will always resolve YES, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket for hedging or outcome-specific positions. Verify Kalshi's actual market structure before trading, as the three statements provided may represent three separate markets rather than one omnibus market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three discrete binary markets: (1) Cruz Azul Win resolves YES only if Cruz Azul wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES if match ends in draw, YES if canceled with no makeup, NO if either team wins; (3) Puebla Win resolves YES only if Puebla wins, NO otherwise. Primary source: official Liga MX statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution statements: resolves YES if Cruz Azul wins, YES if Puebla wins, or YES if tie occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement rules provided. Primary source: official Liga MX statistics for the game originally scheduled July 21, 2026, measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between CF Cruz Azul and Club Puebla.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Cruz Azul vs Puebla Liga MX match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each outcome—Cruz Azul victory, Puebla victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the actual match result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Cruz Azul vs. Puebla match. Both venues allow traders to forecast the outcome of this fixture by buying and selling shares tied to different results. The combined view shows how the broader prediction market community is pricing this event, with real-time odds reflecting the collective assessment of match probabilities. Tracking across multiple platforms reveals consensus strength and helps identify where independent markets converge or diverge on the same sporting event.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and manage risk through margin; prediction markets derive prices from continuous trading between participants who stake real capital on outcomes. Prediction market odds often reflect crowd wisdom and can respond faster to breaking news, while sportsbooks may adjust more cautiously to protect their book. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing both sources can highlight where professional and crowd sentiment diverge on this match.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings may influence positioning as the match approaches. Weather conditions, travel disruptions, or late-breaking team news often trigger sharp price moves in the final hours. Betting syndicates and sharp traders monitoring these signals can move odds quickly, so watching for official team communications and sports news outlets is essential for understanding price momentum in this market.