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$134.1b

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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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CF Cruz Azul vs. Chicago Fire FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CF Cruz Azul vs. Chicago Fire FC?

Volume:
$4,382,458

Chicago Fire

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 11:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago Fire

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,184,517
N/A
N/A
$474,897
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$154,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cruz Azul

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,947,249
N/A
N/A
$1,187,574
Settled
No
polymarket

CF Cruz Azul

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$138,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$821,886
N/A
N/A
$370,180
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF Cruz Azul vs. Chicago Fire FC)

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Chicago Fire FC will win their professional Leagues Cup soccer match against CF Cruz Azul scheduled for August 13, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Chicago Fire FC winning stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolutions determined via the official Leagues Cup website. Watch the match result on August 13, 2026, as it will directly determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure divergence between binary outcomes (Polymarket) and tri-state outcome (Kalshi)Hero tip: Track Polymarket markets separately — a Kalshi 'Yes' resolution could correspond to either Polymarket 'Yes' (Cruz Azul win) or Polymarket 'Yes' (draw) depending on actual match result

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Cruz Azul win resolves Yes/No, Draw resolves Yes/No, Chicago Fire win resolves Yes/No. Canceled games resolve No for win markets and Yes for draw market
  • Kalshi: Single tri-state market: Resolves Yes if Cruz Azul wins, Chicago Fire wins, or match ends in draw. Canceled games not addressed in provided rules
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, August 13, 2026 between CF Cruz Azul and Chicago Fire FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire professional Leagues Cup soccer game scheduled for August 13, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Cruz Azul scores more goals than Chicago Fire by the end of regulation, the 'Cruz Azul' market resolves to Yes. If Chicago Fire scores more goals than Cruz Azul, the 'Chicago Fire' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. No extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation events influence the resolution. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as per the secondary rules. The governing league’s official result, recognized by both teams and the Leagues Cup, serves as the definitive source for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader bets that may emphasize different signals than those on Kalshi. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, user demographics, available information, and liquidity can shape distinct valuations. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show varied leading outcomes, with their probabilities set by active participation and market-specific dynamics, leading to noticeable price gaps between the two venues.