TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América?

Volume:
$9,083,707

Cruz Azul

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 2:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruz Azul

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,394,911
N/A
N/A
$1,280,333
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Cruz Azul

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$213,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

America

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,992,524
N/A
N/A
$2,674,231
Settled
No
polymarket

CF América

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,296,884
N/A
N/A
$1,327,583
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CF Cruz Azul will win their Liga MX soccer match against CF América on September 12, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of a Cruz Azul win is 100.0%, with CF América at 0.1%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official results reported at https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Keep an eye on September 13, 2026, as this is the estimated date for resolution following the conclusion of the match and any potential stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution rules for game cancellations. Polymarket resolves win/loss markets to 'No' and draw markets to 'Yes' upon cancellation, while Kalshi resolves all markets to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a hedge against cancellation for win/loss markets, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' for win/loss markets and 'Yes' for draw markets if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Resolution is based on official statistics, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting).
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' for all outcomes (win, loss, draw) if the game is canceled. Resolution is based on official statistics, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between CF Cruz Azul and CF América.

Kalshi

The event covers all possible outcomes of the Cruz Azul vs America professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins within regular time, or when the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform guidelines. The operator emphasizes it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets potentially identifying mispriced opportunities. However, both offer valuable insights for those interested in the Cruz Azul vs. América match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume tends to have more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior. These nuances contribute to the observed price discrepancies for the Cruz Azul vs. América match, even though both are tracking the same underlying event.