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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

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$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC?

Volume:
$546,934

Atlante FC

 - Polymarket

Atlante FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 3:08 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Atlante FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$297,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Cruz Azul

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tapatio wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
kalshi

Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
$157
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether Atlante FC will win their soccer match against CF Cruz Azul scheduled for August 1, 2026, aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolutions verified at ligamx.net. The current consensus probability for Atlante FC winning stands at 100.0%, with CF Cruz Azul having a second outcome probability of 0.1%. The critical catalyst to watch will be the match result on August 1, 2026, which will determine the official resolution of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market scope divergence - Polymarket covers a full match outcome for one teams pairing, while Kalshi covers first-half score differentials in a completely different matchHero tip: Treat these as separate, unrelated markets. Do not assume correlation between CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC full-match results and Tapatio vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo first-half dynamics

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Full match outcome markets for CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC on August 1, 2026 - resolves based on official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Kalshi: First-half score differential markets for Tapatio vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo on July 26, 2026 - resolves based on whether either team wins first half by more than 1.5 goals
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, August 1, 2026 between CF Cruz Azul and Atlante FC.

Kalshi

The event determines whether either Tapatio or Cruz Azul Hidalgo will secure a first-half victory by a margin exceeding 1.5 goals in their scheduled Liga de Expansion MX match. If Tapatio achieves this margin, the market resolves positively for that outcome; if Cruz Azul Hidalgo does so, the alternate outcome resolves positively. Only goals scored in the first half are considered for resolution. Should the match be canceled or postponed by more than two weeks, the market will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts different user groups and has its own liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might see heavier betting from local fans, skewing its odds, while the other could reflect international or more analytical traders. These dynamics lead to distinct probability assessments, meaning Polymarket and Kalshi may show divergent views on the same match outcome.