TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cesena FC vs. Spezia Calcio
polymarket
kalshi

Cesena FC vs. Spezia Calcio

Volume:
$112,930

Spezia

 - Kalshi

Spezia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Cesena vs Spezia Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spezia

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,913
0%
0%
$19,063
N/A
polymarket

Spezia Calcio

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,575
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Cesena

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,615
0%
0%
$13,896
N/A
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,919
0%
0%
$10,858
N/A
polymarket

Cesena FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,952
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Cesena FC vs. Spezia Calcio)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,957
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Serie B soccer match between Cesena FC and Spezia Calcio scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Cesena win, Spezia win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's cancellation clause creates asymmetric resolution across its three markets (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO if canceled). Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, leaving resolution undefined in that scenario.Hero tip: If the game is canceled with no make-up: on Polymarket, the draw market wins and both win markets lose; on Kalshi, all three markets remain unresolved. Treat Kalshi positions as having implicit cancellation risk. Prioritize official Serie B league communications for rescheduling or cancellation notices.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Cesena win YES/NO, Spezia win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). All three reference the same game on 2026-02-21 and the same 90-minute scope. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves win markets to NO and draw market to YES. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (Cesena/Spezia win markets) and 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering the same match and 90-minute scope (Tie, Cesena win, Spezia win). No explicit postponement or cancellation clause provided. Markets resolve YES only if the specified outcome occurs. Absence of cancellation language creates ambiguity. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Cesena vs Spezia professional Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.