TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Serie B soccer match between Cesena FC and Spezia Calcio scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Cesena win, Spezia win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's cancellation clause creates asymmetric resolution across its three markets (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO if canceled). Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, leaving resolution undefined in that scenario.Hero Tip:
If the game is canceled with no make-up: on Polymarket, the draw market wins and both win markets lose; on Kalshi, all three markets remain unresolved. Treat Kalshi positions as having implicit cancellation risk. Prioritize official Serie B league communications for rescheduling or cancellation notices.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Cesena win YES/NO, Spezia win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). All three reference the same game on 2026-02-21 and the same 90-minute scope. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves win markets to NO and draw market to YES. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (Cesena/Spezia win markets) and 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets covering the same match and 90-minute scope (Tie, Cesena win, Spezia win). No explicit postponement or cancellation clause provided. Markets resolve YES only if the specified outcome occurs. Absence of cancellation language creates ambiguity. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Cesena vs Spezia professional Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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