TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Drake's Certified Lover Boy will accumulate more than 35.8 million streams globally during the May 22–28 tracking week, as measured by Luminate. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 3.5%. The resolution source is Luminate's official worldwide streaming data for that specific week. Watch the streaming performance during the May 22–28 tracking period, as this week's numbers will directly determine the market outcome by the June 1 resolution date.
On Kalshi, Certified Lover Boy streams up this week is priced as a binary contract: Will the album exceed 35,785,254 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market probability reflects trader sentiment on whether Drake's streaming volume will clear that threshold during the specified window. Kalshi's pricing mechanism converts this probability into contract odds, allowing traders to buy or sell exposure to the outcome. As new streaming data emerges and the resolution date approaches, Kalshi's price adjusts to reflect updated market expectations.
The Certified Lover Boy streams up this week market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for Drake's Certified Lover Boy album during the May 22–28 period. The outcome hinges on whether total streams reach or exceed the specified threshold of 35,785,254. Once the resolution window closes and Luminate publishes final figures, the market settles based on whether that benchmark was met.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Certified Lover Boy streams up this week. Major playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or other streaming services during May 22–28 would boost visibility and stream velocity. Drake announcements, social media campaigns, or surprise collaborations could drive listener engagement. Chart performance and radio airplay also influence streaming behavior. Early-week streaming data releases or industry reports may signal whether the album is tracking toward the 35,785,254 threshold, prompting traders to adjust positions. Competitive releases or broader music industry trends during that week could also impact listener attention and streaming volume.