TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 11:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in an official league. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Outcomes include victories for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Cerro Porteno, a win for San Lorenzo, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and positioning. While sportsbooks may reflect broader public betting trends, prediction markets capture more nuanced, speculative positioning. Traders watch both sources to spot potential value shifts, especially as new information emerges that could sway expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, and the market settles accordingly based on that verified data, closing all positions at that point.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 16, 2026. Key team announcements — like player injuries, coaching changes, or suspension updates — often reshape expectations quickly. Performance in preceding matches, especially against common opponents, may also reshape odds. Broader factors like home-field advantage, weather conditions on the day of the match, and even shifts in betting sentiment on Kalshi can create noticeable movement. Traders will watch these cues closely as they refine predictions about the final outcome.