TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 8:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Cerro Porteno and Palmeiras, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regular time. It examines different thresholds for wins by either team, highlighting how decisive the victory must be for each side. The event is part of the CONMEBOL Libertadores tournament, South America's premier club football competition.
The event evaluates various winning margins for Cerro Porteno and Palmeiras in their CONMEBOL Libertadores match scheduled for August 19, 2026, considering only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). For Cerro Porteno, two markets exist: one requiring a win by more than 2.5 goals and another by more than 1.5 goals. For Palmeiras, similar markets are set at winning margins exceeding 1.5 goals and more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal-differential victory within the defined timeframe. All markets explicitly note that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market through continuous bidding and asking. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants about which team is likely to win by a certain margin. Volume of $26,425 and recent 24-hour volume of $26,425 show how engaged traders are, with price fluctuations driven by new information such as lineup changes or weather updates.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual regulation-time spread in the match, which will be compared against the market’s defined criteria. No further adjustments are made after the final whistle, making the resolution straightforward once official results are announced.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift this market as the match nears. Strong recent form from either team, media coverage highlighting tactical advantages, or unexpected lineup announcements often cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch for any last-minute disciplinary actions or pitch conditions that might affect performance.