TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:53 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Cerro Largo FC and Central Espanol FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cerro Largo FC" if Cerro Largo FC score more goals than Central Espanol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Cerro Largo FC and Central Espanol FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Central Espanol FC" if Central Espanol FC score more goals than Cerro Largo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Cerro Largo FC and Central Espanol FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cerro Largo FC" if Cerro Largo FC score more goals than Central Espanol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Cerro Largo FC and Central Espanol FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Central Espanol FC" if Central Espanol FC score more goals than Cerro Largo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of shares indicates the market’s collective prediction; for example, a share priced at 60 represents a 60% probability of that outcome occurring. The market’s efficiency is driven by traders actively seeking to profit from perceived mispricings, leading to a dynamic and informative price discovery process.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on which team—Cerro Largo FC or Central Espanol FC—wins the second half of the match. A draw will also be a possible outcome. The platform will verify the official result and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to traders who correctly predicted the second half winner. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed of any potential developments.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the evolving situation. Overall team form and recent performance are also important indicators that traders will consider when evaluating probabilities.