TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy?

Volume:
$57,224

Draw (Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 8:14 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cerezo Ōsaka

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cerezo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,545
N/A
N/A
$6,122
Settled
No
polymarket

Tōkyō Verdy

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo V wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$769
N/A
N/A
$769
Settled
No
kalshi

Cerezo wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
$730
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo V wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Cerezo Ōsaka and Tōkyō Verdy on September 6, 2026. Markets exist for Cerezo Ōsaka winning, Tōkyō Verdy winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms diverge in their outcome definitions. Polymarket focuses on a simple win/loss/draw, while Kalshi requires a specific margin of victory.Hero tip: Consider the potential for a close game. A narrow victory for either team may resolve differently on each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Yes' if Cerezo Ōsaka wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. A canceled game resolves to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Cerezo or Tōkyō Verdy wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively, within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No mention of cancellation resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 6, 2026 between Cerezo Ōsaka and Tōkyō Verdy.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios for the Cerezo versus Tokyo V professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for September 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Cerezo winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cerezo winning by more than 1.5 goals, Tokyo V winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Tokyo V winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Cerezo Osaka vs. Tokyo Verdy match. Currently, the consensus view suggests a roughly 53% chance of a specific outcome, with a total volume of $57,224. This reflects the combined sentiment from both platforms, allowing for a broader understanding of expectations than either platform offers in isolation. The dashboard provides a centralized location to monitor how the market evolves as new information becomes available, and how opinions shift leading up to the event. It’s designed to give a comprehensive overview of the predictive wisdom of the crowd.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from imbalances, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who have skin in the game. This market’s odds reflect what participants believe will happen, incentivizing accurate predictions. Sportsbooks may also incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management, which can lead to discrepancies. Generally, prediction markets are considered more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as the event approaches and volume increases.